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Jeannie Peck and Donna Potter with Bill Treadway in 2014
WILLIAM TREADWAY TAUGHT AT SHS FROM 1960-1984
Special thanks to the 32
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The ‘dreaded’ penalty shootout is a common feature of knockout football tournaments and as every commentator in every shootout will 🌝 tell you, going out on penalties is a ‘terrible way to lose’.
Right as they may be, there’s a certain science 🌝 and pattern to penalty shootouts that not everyone is aware of, and knowing the numbers can help you turn a 🌝 profit if you’re sick enough to bet in-play on football’s equivalent of Russian Roulette.
Penalties by Numbers
Where there’s a significant sample 🌝 size of something, there’ll always be nerds to analyse the data and present it in a nice neat fashion for 🌝 less clever people to understand, and that’s exactly what several research groups have done over the years*.
An overwhelming feature of 🌝 the hand-waving analysis of penalty kicks by pundits and journalists comes down to simple cognitive bias. If a penalty is 🌝 saved, it’s invariably described as a poor kick. Similarly if the ball hits the back of the net, the kicker 🌝 is described as cool and calm under pressure. This is of course, rubbish, and variance or ‘luck’ to the great 🌝 un-hosed is the real factor at work here.
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